Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.033856e+00 1.289887 1.572993 1.906292 2.284997 2.699100 3.183294
2025-06-01 7.221891e-01 1.065072 1.484914 2.023331 2.682194 3.449647 4.398400
2025-06-08 4.805623e-01 0.848413 1.348122 2.042393 2.948805 4.061023 5.497382
2025-06-15 3.544052e-01 0.742101 1.320215 2.178658 3.357635 4.861606 6.865832
2025-06-22 2.531791e-01 0.636828 1.265715 2.260223 3.689704 5.575552 8.155827
2025-06-29 1.742410e-01 0.537149 1.193777 2.297700 3.952857 6.203139 9.353740
2025-07-06 1.089005e-01 0.431246 1.084262 2.255940 4.089486 6.657004 10.331941
2025-07-13 7.187621e-02 0.366243 1.028522 2.285480 4.323202 7.244955 11.499951
2025-07-20 4.560354e-02 0.309978 0.973792 2.304787 4.535330 7.803614 12.637993
2025-07-27 2.446805e-02 0.247107 0.886801 2.252352 4.625454 8.183951 13.534312
2025-08-03 1.179332e-02 0.196098 0.809110 2.202524 4.710007 8.552257 14.416750
2025-08-10 5.759145e-03 0.164500 0.767826 2.214113 4.891743 9.066007 15.512847
2025-08-17 1.728123e-03 0.126892 0.697284 2.159552 4.961759 9.420500 16.402428
2025-08-24 7.355033e-04 0.115911 0.701618 2.261460 5.307774 10.208626 17.939475
2025-08-31 1.038374e-04 0.094970 0.664919 2.268761 5.485391 10.739682 19.111910
2025-09-07 1.994596e-05 0.090882 0.686135 2.407900 5.906022 11.662086 20.877922
2025-09-14 2.070710e-09 0.081544 0.683713 2.491384 6.227523 12.434468 22.434446
2025-09-21 NaN 0.069309 0.663478 2.529425 6.465151 13.077470 23.808097
2025-09-28 NaN 0.052636 0.612295 2.483779 6.540897 13.459525 24.794893
2025-10-05 NaN 0.043853 0.592898 2.514783 6.762597 14.081873 26.152749
2025-10-12 NaN 0.035807 0.570893 2.535109 6.962494 14.670686 27.466224
2025-10-19 NaN 0.025578 0.523620 2.478980 7.006586 15.000434 28.386669
2025-10-26 NaN 0.017751 0.480373 2.425683 7.051055 15.329064 29.307884